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Mid-February Synopsis

Published by in Blog on February 18th, 2012

It’s been a while since I created a post, updating you all with my current status and what not. With that being said, I have been doing quite a bit of research lately and going through a whole array of Timothy Sykes video lessons. On top of that, I was accepted into the Timothy Sykes Trading Challenge but am still going over a few things before fully diving in. As of now, I am focusing on the mere fundamentals of the research process and touching up on a few things here and there. Within’ a few months, I plan to begin the paper trading phase which will allow me to adjust my trading strategy and potentially perfect it…in a sense.

Moving forward, this month has been ever so hectic due to this being the final semester I am in high school, not to mention, my business is currently in a slow period. School wise, I am simply adjusting to my new schedule, not too bad but will allow me to finish out the year with ease. Getting pretty pumped as I am looking forward to starting college in the fall. I cannot wait to sign up for classes and to just begin my journey to getting my MBA. This is going to be one hell of a year and I am looking forward to many things. My business in consumer electronics right now is as I said, in a slow period so I am working hard towards adjusting certain things and getting everything back into par.

At the end of the day, I have learned many things this month and have realized quite a few things…on a new perspective. I am remaining focused and proceeding towards my current goals at hand. In the upcoming months, many changes are going to be occurring and a vast quantity of opportunities are going to come forward as well.  It’s all a matter of time before things begin to get real and I am trading with actual money…let the games begin.



Stock Trading has reached its lowest point since 2008

The U.S. stock market has fell to the lowest level since 2008 due to a mass amount of mutual fund withdrawals and Wall Street job cuts. Roughly 6.69 billion shares were swapped around on the U.S. exchanges in the amount of 50 days which ended on january 18th, the lowest amount ever recorded…excluding OTC venues. On the NYSE (New York Stock Exchange), volume has reached a shocking low and hasn’t been this low since 1999, according to Bloomberg data. This slowdown shows that many investors are acting quite bearish and are either taking their losses and withdrawing from the stock market or just withdrawing from the stock market before it’s too late. Many mutual funds are taking losses and things are not looking good on Wall street. Securities firms around the world had to cut more than 200,000 jobs last year. What is really putting a strain on the U.S. stock market is Europe’s debt crisis. Mark Turner, who is head of U.S. sales trading at Instinet Inc. in New York believes that many investors have low confidence in the current market and do not want to set themselves up for disaster. Turner believes as soon as Europe’s debt crisis has figured out some kind of plan to recover, the U.S. market will begin seeing a large spike in volume.

This month, the S&P 500 has seen a 4.6 percent rise, however, has failed to offset the decline in volume. Bloomberg data shows that about 6.85 billion shares worth $209.6 billion have been moved around in the stock market each day this year, down about 16 percent and 12 percent, from the same time period in 2011. Good news is that the S&P 500 rose to an almost six-month high of 1,315,38 last week. The NYSE (New York Stock Exchange) has never seen such bad trading volume since 1999. The 50-day average shows 847.5 million shares last week. As for value traded, we’re looking at an average of $25.1 billion, a level like this hasn’t been seen since 2005. Moving forward, the Nasdaq Stock Market isn’t looking so good either, with the 50-day average being 1.72 billion shares. Daily stock movement has been $45.1 billion, which is the lowest since 2010, according to Bloomberg data.

As I previously mentioned, investors are not willing to take a lot of risk, considering how 2011 went, which all in all was a terrible year for the stock market. Many hedge funds are losing massive amounts of money; in 2011, hedge funds lost 4.9 percent. Many managers have cut leverage, or money borrowed for trading…Not to mention, there has been a major decrease in volume. What you should take away from this post is that the market is not doing good. Lets hope the market turns around soon and gets out of this bearish stage.



A recap of my winter break

Published by in Blog on January 12th, 2012

To begin, I will start off saying that my winter break was pretty good, many different things were accomplished and I feel that a lot of progress was made. I finished off all the articles I needed to read on Investopedia; ending my research with four entire notebooks completely filled with notes. That was a sign of relief, considering a lot was to be done and everything needs to remain on schedule. Following my completion of Investopedia, I ventured onto the Timothy Sykes Collection (all the DVDs he has released) which is going extremely well. When I finish his DVD collection, I will have much more knowledge in the area of not only penny stocks, but the SEC, many different fundamentals that are key to know and so fourth.

As of today, I plan to continue the DVDs by Timothy Sykes, taking notes on each and every one. Once the DVDs are completed, I will do further research, touching up on key points and then will begin paper trading over at thinkorswim. I will be paper trading for a good three months at the bare minimum and then begin actual trading. In the beginning, focusing on penny stocks, building up my portfolio and net-worth, eventually diversifying my portfolio by moving into bullish blue chips such as Microsoft, Intel, Cisco, Kimberly-Clark, etc. I see myself within’ the next six months graduating from high school and beginning college in the fall in order to achieve my bachelors degree in finance.

Looking back months ago when I first started this journey, it’s been a ride, let me tell ya…however, things are looking better than ever and I couldn’t have asked for a better turn out thus far. I plan to continue doing good in school and going straight to a university in the fall after I graduate from high school. My ultimate game plan is in motion and there is no turning back now, everything is how I want it to be, my business partner is excelling as well…all the pieces of the puzzle are seeming to fall into place lately.



5 best-performing stocks of 2011

Published by in Blog, Stocks on December 29th, 2011

Taking the No. 5 spot is MasterCard (MA)
MasterCard services and supports credit, debit and other related payments to financial institutions. This company is surprassing many simply because of the worldwide trend which ultimately leads up to card usage, cash and checks through the company. MasterCard shares have returned an astounding average of 30% a year for the past five years. This year, the company has a cool 60% gain. According to Standard & Poor’s, MasterCard may see a new high of $400; that was the price target issued by them. Projecting a 25% increase in the company’s revenue this year alone, and 13% this coming year. MasterCard is curretnly at the top of all payment processors and are looking to remain on top.

At the No. 4 spot, we have Biogen Idec (BIIB)
Biogen Idec is a biotechnology company whose main concern is developing drugs for neurological disorders and other medical conditions. The main thing this biotech company focuses on is intreatments for autoimmune disorders. You may be wondering where did this company come from and how come they are soaring above many other biotech companies…well, according to money.msn, the recent approval of a new five-year European marketing plan for multiple sclerosis drug Tysabri and positive findings from a study of Avonex, another multiple sclerosis drug, have attracted investors. From what I can see, this company has a vast network of strong investors who are backing up this company 100%. As of today, there are several products already in/entering Phase III clinical trials. According to Standard & Poor’s, they expect Biogen Idec to have a revenue growth of 3.5% this coming year. This year, there was a 6% increase in revenue growth; with a total gain of 64%.

Next up, at the No. 3 spot we have Intuitive Surgical (ISRG)
Intuitive Surgical focuses on producing and selling a device known as the da Vinci Surgical System, which is a robot-assisted surgical device that allows surgeons to perform complex procedures; those include open-heart surgery with incisons as small as 1- to 2-centimeters. According to Standard & Poor’s, they see an increase of $14 per-share earnings in 2012, up from this year’s $11.90. Intuitive Surgical has topped this year with a 68% gain.

To no suprise, at our No. 2 spot is El Paso (EP)
El Paso is a huge company whose main goals focus in gas transportation and storage. In October, El Paso was acquired by Kinder Morgan (KMI) for a whopping $38 billion. What do you have when you combine El Paso with Kinder Morgan’s pipeline operations? The nation’s largest midstream energy transporation company. It gets even better, at this given point in time, demand for natrual gas is at an all-time high and continues to grow. El Paso ended the year with a 83% gain.

At our No. 1 spot is Cabot Oil & Gas (COG)
Cabot Oil & Gas is known for their vast network of exploring and producing natural gas, as well as a little bit of oil. The company is currently expanding and venturing onto new endeavors. Cabot Oil & Gas currently has an open project with Marcellus Shale, operating in northern Appalachia, which is producing natural gas. There are also mass operations in the Rockies and the Gulf Coast. As of today, this company is one of the earliest and biggest players in the oil industry. Cabot Oil & Gas is projected to grow to $2.95 per share in the year of 2012, up from $2.74 per share this year. Cabot Oil & Gas ends 2011 with a total gain of 90%.



Stocks Rising on Unusual Volume

Published by in Blog on December 21st, 2011

To begin, we’re going to look at Nice-Systems (NICE) who is a provider of solutions that makes it possible for enterprises and security organizations to view different interactions, transactions and surveillance. As of now, the stock is trading up 1.6% at $32.41.

Average Volume: 226,569

Today’s Volume: 465,000

Volume % Change: 333%

Prior to this timid breakout, NICE was at a low of $31.26, heavy volume recently hit as it’s starting to catch a nice bid today. Those watching the market should most definitely keep an eye on this stock and there appears to be a steady uptrend. The way things are appearing now, this is looking to be a great investment. In recent days, shares of NICE had a day where the volume was down roughly 716,500 shares, bringing the near-term bottom of the stock around.

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Venturing on, we have one of my favorites, Inhibitex (INHX) which has sky rocketed over the past month. Inhibitex is a biopharmaceutical company which focuses on the development of differentiated anti-infective products to prevent/ treat serious infections. As of now, the stock is trading up 8.5% at $11.33.

Average Volume: 2,627,890

Today’s Volume: 2,977,000

Volume % Change: 115%

Inhibitex Inc

As you can see from the chart above, the stock is literally soaring and has become accustomed to new heights. From what I can see, INHX is beginning to trend back above its gap down day which was at a high of $10.45 on extremely heavy volume today. I will be checking this stock periodically and looking to see that the high-volume has sustained, thus signaling that the stock will continue towards it peak of $14. At the lowest point last week of $5, INHX bounced back and is currently on a 100% gain, profits are on the rise my friends!

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The last stock we are going to take a look at is ADA-ES (ADES) who develops, implements and offers environmental technologies and provides equipment and specialty chemicals that allow coal-fueled power plants to meet emissions regulations, enhance existing air pollution control equipment and so fourth. In the past few days, the stock has been trading up 10.8% at $22.15.

Average Volume: 83,400

Today’s Volume: 153,000

Volume % Change: 333%

A major breakout has occurred today, seeing how the stock has cleared some past overhead resistance which was occurring at $20.97 on some very nice, heavy volume. If ADES can hold above $20.97 at the close today and perhaps toward the daily highs, this stock will surely trend toward it’s March high of $24.92. I see big things happening for this stock in the near future and some rather lucrative profits.



The top stock-market strategy of the past 50 years

Published by in Blog on December 17th, 2011

There have been many surprising turns in the stock market lately. Mainly all of the volatility that has been going on. According to marketwatch, market returns have become so volatile that daily returns have been of 3%-5%, going both ways, up or down and are hardly suprising now a days. Volatility seems to be extremely frequent in the market as of now and you have to watch what you are doing. Ulitmately, volatility leads investors into emotionally based trades which focus on short term profits, ending up missing out on longer-term opportunities. Anyhow, investors have been staying out of the market lately or selling their entire equity stakes which they withhold.

Investors tend to have awful timing, a prime example of this is asset allocation. As for stocks, bonds, and cash; typically cash ends up on top, with the lowest being equities which is not good. The point I am trying to get across here is that many investors and people in general are being ran over by moments of panic and greed. In the end, it simply leads people to do the wrong thing at the wrong time and turns into a habit. Another example is a study, which was conducted by John Bogle, who is the founder of mutual-fund firm Vanguard Group. Bogle found that for the 20 years ending 2003, the S&P 500 Index returned 13% per year, followed by the average mutual fund return of 10.3% and then finally the average investor who achieved just a 7.9% annualized return. This all took place prior to the crash of 2008.

What is the answer to stop all of this madness you ask? Trending value is your key. One must in the end have stable, exceptional long-term performance, nothing but success will arise from this. One must look at their investing goals, time frames, and strategies and see exactly what they are doing. It’s not rocket science, if you know what you are doing and have a strong game plan, you will succeed. At the end of the day, if you look at those three things and figure out what you are doing and what exactly works for you, you should be golden. Out of the three, the one to focus on would be investment strategies because you need to find out what works for you and if it will continue to work in your favor. Even if the market is down and theres minor underperformance, your strategy allows you to excel in the end. Over time, with discipline, you can truly beat the market and make some pretty big returns over a good period of time; it is achieveable, there’s no doubt about it.

Continue reading “The top stock-market strategy of the past 50 years” »



Warren Buffet chooses son as Berkshire Hathaway ‘guardian’

The billionaire investor has announced that he would one day, like his son, who is a farmer, Howard Buffett, to serve as an “unpaid, non-executive “guardian” of Berkshire Hathaway after he dies”, according to an interview which was conducted with CBS New’s “60 Minutes”. His son, Howard Buffett, is a corn and soybean farmer with no college degree. Warren Buffett however sees Howard as a good “guardian” simply because he believes his son understands the value of companies. As of now, Berkshire Hathaway is reaping profits and are surpassing many others. Berkshire has a market cap of nearly $200 billion…Berkshire earned roughly $13 billion alone in 2010 profits. Buffett’s son feels the same way, he believes he would be totally capable of running Berkshire successfully. However, Howard Buffett currently runs a 400-acre farm in Nebraska, better known as Buffett Farms. He would not want to give that up; in other words, he wants to be able to run his farm, while at the same time, taking control over Berkshire Hathaway. For those of you wondering why this guy, why Howard Buffett, what experience does he have? Well, he has quite a bit of corporate experience, which includes being on the board of the Berkshire firm now; ever since 1993. He also serves on the board of Coca Cola, Sloan Implement and Lindsay Corporation. In the pass, he has served on the boards of Archer Daniels Midland and ConAgra Foods…ultimately giving him a large amount of experience in many different fields and businesses that Berkshire owns and invests in. He is a great canidate and as of now, it looks like he will be the successor of Warren Buffett.

In the business world, the rearview mirror is always clearer than the windshield. – Warren Buffett



The MF Global Holdings scandal

I’m sure some of you have already heard about the MF Global Holdings scandal; how billions of dollars went missing out of thin air under MF Global Holdings care. It’s been quite wide spread and many new key pieces of evidence have come forward, including a few ideas as to where the money has went. To begin, the actual scandal consists of a shortfall of roughly $1.2 billion; at first, it was expected to be around $600 million, as you can see, the losses are more than double that amount. The failed brokerage was ran by former New Jersey Governor Jon Corzine. According to thedailycrux, “customer accounts are missing about 22 percent of their total $5.4 billion. As of now, there is an ongoing investigation which will determine exactly who took the funds or how they were used/ distributed. Roughly 60% of the missing $1.2 billion has been recovered and will be distributed to those who were with the brokerage firm.

Moving forward, the main collapse of the brokerage firm is said to be that “MF Global failed to segregate customer funds from its own funds” according to conservativeviewsandnews. Another key factor that came into play which broke MF Global Holdings was them buying European “sovereign junk debt”. As most you may know, Europe is in a crisis right now and it’s not a good time to mess with anything directly relating to the country itself. MF Global Holdings collapse is now known as the eight-largest bankruptcy in U.S. history.

Finally, we will discuss Jon Corzine and his role in this massive scandal. Corzine resigned from MF Global last month as he was expected and is currently the center of attention in the ongoing investigation itself, seeing how he was the CEO and main person in power. To cut to the chase, Jon Corzine is seen as one of the bad guys in this case and many people are enraged that he might have the chance to walk away with millions of dollars that does not exactly belong to him, if he indeed did steal from his own company. However, the company has in turn said that they are contemplating on suing Corzine for a large chunk of funds which was paid to him during his time at MF Global as the CEO. Things are getting even worst for him though as the FBI is actively looking into exactly what happened and they may bring criminal charges against him; you never know. For all we know, he might have been running some sort of a ponzi scheme, or he may be completely innocent…only time will tell. Ultimately, you have the idea at the back of your mind: how would a person of Jon Corzine’s expertise, position and vast skill set not know what they are doing; how could they let something so massive and disastrous happen.



Hectic days

Published by in Blog on December 6th, 2011

Well, to begin, this has been literally one of the most productive months I’ve had in a while. While things have been hectic, I’ve been able to stay organized and focused on my main goal: learning mass about the stock market and future investing. Hours and hours of research have ultimately ended up in a surge of knowledge and I’ve been able to point out certain things that relate to the stock market and what not, it’s a great addition to my current skill set. I’m still on Investopedia pushing through the main articles that I need to cover. As of now, I am at the last stepping stone there, looking into active trading and further understanding of fields such as technical analysis which I already know of; basically, the articles in active trading will allow me to see different views and perspectives on the subject at hand.

Nevertheless, in the past week or two, Rocniel and I have been steadily working on different opportunities at hand and what not trying to get our name out there into the vast world of  stock marketing. We are currently building ourselves from the ground up and so far, it’s been pretty successful with no failure at this given point in time. With school being hectic, for the both of us and me on my final semester of high school ever, it’s been nothing but long days for me and a bunch of decisions. I am currently scheduling my classes and once everything is established and organized, I will be posting here on the blog every other day, if not, daily…

At the end of the day, Rocniel and myself have came a long way and we continue to keep pushing on through all of the research and any obstacles we may run into. We are here to win and to win only, and that’s that. As of today, I am going to continue my research on Investopedia and all of the other vast networks I am associated with and plan to finish the majority of my online research by the end of this month…then moving onto a mass collection by Timothy Sykes. Once done with my online research and the collection by Sykes, I am going to go over my notes once more and touch up on a few subjects and then proceed to a simulator…from there, I will be perfecting a few key strategies and so forth.



A month into my journey

Published by in Blog on November 22nd, 2011

Well, it’s been a month so far into my journey, to say the least, this has been one of the most productive months I’ve had in a while. I’ve literally gotten so much research done in the past month, it’s crazy to even think about it. I used to never get headaches, I get them all the time now from all of the research I have been conducting; I guess that’s apart of the process though right? Haha…nevertheless, over the course of the month, I’ve ventured into many new things. The vast majority of it being beginner investor based information, however, in the past two weeks or so, I’ve moved into more experienced topics such as advanced financial statement analysis, different bond concepts, ratio analysis, behavioral finance and so fourth. Everything has been coming together with ease and I see myself coming out on top very soon. Rocniel has been flying along as well, literally doing massive amounts of research like myself. It’s nice to have one anothers motivation and determination to thrive off of. It just seems that Wall Street has been destined for me, I can see myself in the world of the stock market and it’s truly something I would love to dedicate my life to.

Lately, my attention has been focused on actually understanding the market; different ratios/ formulas, rational/irrational behavior in the market, etc. It’s really neat to learn about such interesting topics and see how they come into play in the stock market. As you may be thinking by now, my life seems pretty hectic…well, you’re absolutely right, haha. As a small time business owner, senior in high school, and aspiring investor, there’s been quite a bit going on. It’s something you have to get used to in order to live this kind of life though, being on Wall Street and working in the stock market consists of a fast-paced lifestyle; but it’s something I want at the end of the day. One of my more interesting finds lately would have to be the study of behavioral finance, how rational/irrational moves are made in the market. There are theories to explain some of the moves made but a couple others, are what make those studying them become extremely stumped. For example, the January Effect; which is when all of the small firms typically have huge returns; it’s something that goes against the efficient market hypothesis which basically states that the market is typically always stable throughout the year…but in this case, the January Effect always produces higher returns and what not, going against the efficient market hypothesis which is seen as irrational/ irregular behavior, which falls under the topic behavioral finance.

Throughout this whole period of time, I have remained motivated and dedicated to learning about the stock market and as I continue on, I just keep getting more and more hungry to succeed…as Rocniel would say, “we hungry”. At the end of the day, I’ve learned many new things and continue to research on a daily basis and write down heaps of notes. If you are looking to further expand your knowledge about the stock market as a beginner/ experienced investor, I highly recommend you head over to Investopedia.com; there’s actually a direct link to their website on the bottom of our blog. I am going to continue my research and keep jotting down notes, gaining more and more knowledge on a daily basis and will keep you all updated.




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